DDM Analysis: TLDN.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$919.01 - $1,428.03	$1,154.36
Multi-Stage	$2,115.71 - $2,330.84	$2,221.15
Blended Fair Value	$1,687.75
Current Price	$700.00
Upside	141.11%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	12.23	13.50	6.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-9.38%	118.78%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.42%	3.00%	1.21%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,260,982.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	399,958.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)	861,024.55

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	252,196.52	157,622.82	94,573.69
Cash Retained (M)	861,024.55	861,024.55	861,024.55
(-) Cash Required (M)	-252,196.52	-157,622.82	-94,573.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	608,828.03	703,401.72	766,450.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	12,946.53	12,946.53	12,946.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share	47.03	54.33	59.20
LTM Dividend per Share	30.89	30.89	30.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share	47.03	54.33	59.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	77.92	85.22	90.09
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$919.01	$1,154.36	$1,428.03
Upside / Downside	31.29%	64.91%	104.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,260,982.58	1,248,372.76	1,235,889.03	1,223,530.14	1,211,294.84	1,199,181.89	1,235,157.35
Payout Ratio	31.72%	43.37%	55.03%	66.69%	78.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	399,958.04	541,473.86	680,119.37	815,937.83	948,971.90	1,079,263.70	1,142,520.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	504,194.71	509,339.55	514,484.40
Year 2 PV (M)	589,694.02	601,789.99	614,008.77
Year 3 PV (M)	658,748.19	679,120.42	699,908.40
Year 4 PV (M)	713,405.59	742,972.92	773,449.93
Year 5 PV (M)	755,494.86	794,835.23	835,797.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)	24,169,589.51	25,428,156.11	26,738,614.26
Equity Value (M)	27,391,126.86	28,756,214.22	30,176,263.38
Shares Outstanding (M)	12,946.53	12,946.53	12,946.53
Fair Value	$2,115.71	$2,221.15	$2,330.84
Upside / Downside	202.24%	217.31%	232.98%

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PT Teladan Prima Agro Tbk (TLDN.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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