DDM Analysis: SVOA.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3.27 - $6.02	$4.40
Multi-Stage	$5.36 - $5.89	$5.62
Blended Fair Value	$5.01
Current Price	$1.40
Upside	257.90%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.98%	11.77%	0.04	0.07	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.06	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	-48.58%	22.41%	16.00%	25.00%	33.16%	-34.70%	228.57%	-75.00%	330.77%	8.33%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.73%	3.59%	2.48%	1.50%	1.98%	4.55%	3.90%	0.82%	4.09%	0.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	212.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	45.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	167.34

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	42.58	26.61	15.97
Cash Retained (M)	167.34	167.34	167.34
(-) Cash Required (M)	-42.58	-26.61	-15.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)	124.76	140.73	151.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	947.00	947.00	947.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.15	0.16
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.13	0.15	0.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.18	0.20	0.21
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	0.88%	1.88%	2.88%
Fair Value	$3.27	$4.40	$6.02
Upside / Downside	133.28%	214.24%	329.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	212.89	216.88	220.95	225.10	229.32	233.62	240.63
Payout Ratio	21.40%	35.12%	48.84%	62.56%	76.28%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	45.55	76.16	107.91	140.82	174.93	210.26	222.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	0.88%	1.88%	2.88%
Year 1 PV (M)	70.86	71.56	72.26
Year 2 PV (M)	93.40	95.26	97.14
Year 3 PV (M)	113.40	116.80	120.28
Year 4 PV (M)	131.05	136.33	141.76
Year 5 PV (M)	146.55	153.96	161.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,521.43	4,750.03	4,987.78
Equity Value (M)	5,076.69	5,323.94	5,580.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	947.00	947.00	947.00
Fair Value	$5.36	$5.62	$5.89
Upside / Downside	282.92%	301.56%	320.94%

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SVOA Public Company Limited (SVOA.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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