DDM Analysis: STNG

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$261.40 - $1,176.18	$605.96
Multi-Stage	$135.02 - $147.70	$141.24
Blended Fair Value	$373.60
Current Price	$56.05
Upside	566.55%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	31.45%	1.71%	1.73	1.20	0.48	0.48	0.48	0.44	0.31	0.20	1.81	1.81
YoY Growth	-	-	44.84%	147.33%	-0.03%	0.08%	9.51%	40.66%	58.22%	-89.00%	-0.15%	23.49%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.62%	1.65%	0.86%	2.27%	2.62%	2.31%	1.61%	1.03%	4.07%	3.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	284.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	80.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)	203.95

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	56.95	35.59	21.35
Cash Retained (M)	203.95	203.95	203.95
(-) Cash Required (M)	-56.95	-35.59	-21.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	147.00	168.36	182.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	48.14	48.14	48.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.05	3.50	3.79
LTM Dividend per Share	1.68	1.68	1.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.05	3.50	3.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.73	5.17	5.47
WACC / Discount Rate	7.41%	7.41%	7.41%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$261.40	$605.96	$1,176.18
Upside / Downside	366.38%	981.10%	1,998.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	284.73	303.24	322.95	343.94	366.30	390.11	401.81
Payout Ratio	28.37%	40.70%	53.02%	65.35%	77.67%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	80.78	123.41	171.24	224.76	284.52	351.10	371.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.41%	7.41%	7.41%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	113.82	114.90	115.98
Year 2 PV (M)	145.65	148.43	151.23
Year 3 PV (M)	176.32	181.38	186.54
Year 4 PV (M)	205.85	213.77	221.91
Year 5 PV (M)	234.27	245.59	257.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,624.35	5,896.00	6,178.06
Equity Value (M)	6,500.26	6,800.07	7,111.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	48.14	48.14	48.14
Fair Value	$135.02	$141.24	$147.70
Upside / Downside	140.89%	152.00%	163.52%

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Scorpio Tankers Inc. (STNG)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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