DDM Analysis: SONACOMS.BO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$182.36 - $382.47	$257.85
Multi-Stage	$133.10 - $145.40	$139.14
Blended Fair Value	$198.49
Current Price	$411.75
Upside	-51.79%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	14.34%	0.00%	3.04	2.88	1.93	0.72	1.45	1.56	1.66	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	5.53%	49.50%	166.53%	-50.23%	-6.62%	-6.19%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.63%	0.43%	0.37%	0.13%	0.42%	0.43%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,128.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	897.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,230.73

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,225.60	766.00	459.60
Cash Retained (M)	5,230.73	5,230.73	5,230.73
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,225.60	-766.00	-459.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,005.13	4,464.73	4,771.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	621.51	621.51	621.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.44	7.18	7.68
LTM Dividend per Share	1.44	1.44	1.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.44	7.18	7.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.89	8.63	9.12
WACC / Discount Rate	10.06%	10.06%	10.06%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$182.36	$257.85	$382.47
Upside / Downside	-55.71%	-37.38%	-7.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,128.01	6,526.33	6,950.54	7,402.33	7,883.48	8,395.90	8,647.78
Payout Ratio	14.64%	29.71%	44.79%	59.86%	74.93%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	897.28	1,939.22	3,112.83	4,430.80	5,906.97	7,556.31	7,999.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.06%	10.06%	10.06%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,745.37	1,761.91	1,778.46
Year 2 PV (M)	2,521.59	2,569.62	2,618.10
Year 3 PV (M)	3,230.44	3,323.18	3,417.67
Year 4 PV (M)	3,876.18	4,025.25	4,178.57
Year 5 PV (M)	4,462.82	4,678.37	4,902.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)	66,885.29	70,115.88	73,470.10
Equity Value (M)	82,721.70	86,474.21	90,365.09
Shares Outstanding (M)	621.51	621.51	621.51
Fair Value	$133.10	$139.14	$145.40
Upside / Downside	-67.68%	-66.21%	-64.69%

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Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS.BO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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