DDM Analysis: SHGR.TA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$68.24 - $320.45	$151.22
Multi-Stage	$36.11 - $39.50	$37.78
Blended Fair Value	$94.50
Current Price	$20.68
Upside	356.96%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.24	0.00	0.00	0.56	0.48	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	18.18%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	1.14%	0.00%	0.00%	4.12%	2.40%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	11.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.33	2.08	1.25
Cash Retained (M)	11.63	11.63	11.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.33	-2.08	-1.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8.30	9.55	10.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	10.32	10.32	10.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.80	0.93	1.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.48	0.48	0.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.80	0.93	1.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.29	1.41	1.49
WACC / Discount Rate	7.49%	7.49%	7.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$68.24	$151.22	$320.45
Upside / Downside	229.97%	631.25%	1,449.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16.63	17.71	18.86	20.09	21.39	22.78	23.47
Payout Ratio	30.07%	42.05%	54.04%	66.03%	78.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5.00	7.45	10.19	13.26	16.69	20.51	21.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.49%	7.49%	7.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	6.86	6.93	6.99
Year 2 PV (M)	8.66	8.82	8.99
Year 3 PV (M)	10.38	10.68	10.98
Year 4 PV (M)	12.04	12.50	12.98
Year 5 PV (M)	13.63	14.29	14.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)	321.15	336.66	352.76
Equity Value (M)	372.72	389.88	407.68
Shares Outstanding (M)	10.32	10.32	10.32
Fair Value	$36.11	$37.78	$39.50
Upside / Downside	74.63%	82.67%	91.01%

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Shagrir Group Vehicle Services Ltd (SHGR.TA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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