Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd (S63.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.12 - $26.14$15.35
Multi-Stage$10.08 - $11.02$10.54
Blended Fair Value$12.95
Current Price$7.79
Upside66.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.28%0.00%0.160.160.220.150.150.150.150.150.150.16
YoY Growth--0.04%-27.27%46.54%-0.03%-0.03%0.03%0.08%0.37%-6.37%-0.25%
Dividend Yield--3.41%4.08%6.51%3.96%3.90%3.78%4.27%4.55%4.59%5.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,410.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,029.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)381.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)282.19176.37105.82
Cash Retained (M)381.84381.84381.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-282.19-176.37-105.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)99.66205.48276.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,141.813,141.813,141.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.070.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.42
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Fair Value$10.12$15.35$26.14
Upside / Downside29.89%97.00%235.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,410.941,475.831,543.701,614.701,688.961,766.631,819.63
Payout Ratio72.94%76.35%79.76%83.17%86.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,029.091,126.791,231.291,343.021,462.421,589.971,683.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate3.60%4.60%5.60%
Year 1 PV (M)1,040.311,050.351,060.39
Year 2 PV (M)1,049.541,069.901,090.46
Year 3 PV (M)1,056.921,087.821,119.32
Year 4 PV (M)1,062.561,104.181,147.02
Year 5 PV (M)1,066.571,119.051,173.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,396.4627,695.2629,044.69
Equity Value (M)31,672.3533,126.5634,635.45
Shares Outstanding (M)3,141.813,141.813,141.81
Fair Value$10.08$10.54$11.02
Upside / Downside29.41%35.35%41.52%

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