DDM Analysis: RSGK.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$288.43 - $427.22	$354.78
Multi-Stage	$529.85 - $582.70	$555.76
Blended Fair Value	$455.27
Current Price	$980.00
Upside	-53.54%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	11.00	96.00	86.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	5.38	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-88.54%	11.63%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.12%	8.35%	7.75%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	33,621.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	10,226.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	23,394.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6,724.26	4,202.66	2,521.60
Cash Retained (M)	23,394.89	23,394.89	23,394.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6,724.26	-4,202.66	-2,521.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	16,670.63	19,192.23	20,873.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	929.68	929.68	929.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share	17.93	20.64	22.45
LTM Dividend per Share	11.00	11.00	11.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	17.93	20.64	22.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	28.93	31.64	33.45
WACC / Discount Rate	7.83%	7.83%	7.83%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$288.43	$354.78	$427.22
Upside / Downside	-70.57%	-63.80%	-56.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	33,621.32	33,285.10	32,952.25	32,622.73	32,296.50	31,973.54	32,932.74
Payout Ratio	30.42%	42.33%	54.25%	66.17%	78.08%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	10,226.43	14,090.65	17,876.56	21,585.35	25,218.17	28,776.18	30,462.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.83%	7.83%	7.83%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	12,935.45	13,067.45	13,199.44
Year 2 PV (M)	15,065.57	15,374.60	15,686.76
Year 3 PV (M)	16,699.80	17,216.25	17,743.25
Year 4 PV (M)	17,910.87	18,653.19	19,418.35
Year 5 PV (M)	18,762.33	19,739.33	20,756.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	411,210.28	432,622.96	454,918.49
Equity Value (M)	492,584.30	516,673.77	541,722.90
Shares Outstanding (M)	929.68	929.68	929.68
Fair Value	$529.85	$555.76	$582.70
Upside / Downside	-45.93%	-43.29%	-40.54%

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PT Kedoya Adyaraya Tbk (RSGK.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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