DDM Analysis: RADL3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$39.17 - $158.30	$103.74
Multi-Stage	$19.25 - $21.05	$20.13
Blended Fair Value	$61.94
Current Price	$18.42
Upside	236.25%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	20.53%	27.58%	0.28	0.28	0.19	0.16	0.11	0.11	0.10	0.10	0.09	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	1.86%	43.76%	22.28%	39.11%	2.10%	7.48%	1.62%	11.42%	26.44%	192.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.48%	1.05%	0.84%	0.71%	0.49%	0.60%	0.88%	0.76%	0.87%	0.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,340.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	544.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)	795.84

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	268.04	167.52	100.51
Cash Retained (M)	795.84	795.84	795.84
(-) Cash Required (M)	-268.04	-167.52	-100.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)	527.80	628.32	695.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,683.71	1,683.71	1,683.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.37	0.41
LTM Dividend per Share	0.32	0.32	0.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.37	0.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.64	0.70	0.74
WACC / Discount Rate	7.22%	7.22%	7.22%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$39.17	$103.74	$158.30
Upside / Downside	112.66%	463.19%	759.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,340.18	1,427.29	1,520.06	1,618.86	1,724.09	1,836.16	1,891.24
Payout Ratio	40.62%	50.49%	60.37%	70.25%	80.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	544.34	720.69	917.66	1,137.20	1,381.40	1,652.54	1,749.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.22%	7.22%	7.22%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	665.88	672.19	678.50
Year 2 PV (M)	783.39	798.31	813.37
Year 3 PV (M)	896.97	922.72	948.96
Year 4 PV (M)	1,006.72	1,045.43	1,085.26
Year 5 PV (M)	1,112.73	1,166.47	1,222.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)	27,946.45	29,296.27	30,697.76
Equity Value (M)	32,412.13	33,901.40	35,446.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,683.71	1,683.71	1,683.71
Fair Value	$19.25	$20.13	$21.05
Upside / Downside	4.51%	9.31%	14.29%

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Raia Drogasil S.A. (RADL3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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