DDM Analysis: PPGL.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$914.29 - $2,190.25	$2,052.59
Multi-Stage	$325.94 - $356.48	$340.93
Blended Fair Value	$1,196.76
Current Price	$110.00
Upside	987.96%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	38.40%	0.00%	10.54	4.00	8.99	0.00	1.95	2.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	163.42%	-55.50%	0.00%	-100.00%	-6.25%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.43%	4.60%	7.43%	0.00%	2.14%	1.71%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	8,493.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5,041.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,452.05

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,698.63	1,061.64	636.99
Cash Retained (M)	3,452.05	3,452.05	3,452.05
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,698.63	-1,061.64	-636.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,753.42	2,390.41	2,815.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	771.18	771.18	771.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.27	3.10	3.65
LTM Dividend per Share	6.54	6.54	6.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.27	3.10	3.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend	8.81	9.64	10.19
WACC / Discount Rate	6.52%	6.52%	6.52%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$914.29	$2,052.59	$2,190.25
Upside / Downside	731.17%	1,765.99%	1,891.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	8,493.15	9,045.20	9,633.14	10,259.29	10,926.15	11,636.35	11,985.44
Payout Ratio	59.35%	65.48%	71.61%	77.74%	83.87%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5,041.10	5,923.15	6,898.57	7,975.78	9,163.87	10,472.71	11,086.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.52%	6.52%	6.52%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,508.56	5,560.78	5,612.99
Year 2 PV (M)	5,966.64	6,080.29	6,195.01
Year 3 PV (M)	6,415.48	6,599.64	6,787.30
Year 4 PV (M)	6,855.20	7,118.83	7,390.00
Year 5 PV (M)	7,285.95	7,637.86	8,003.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	219,327.29	229,920.88	240,919.91
Equity Value (M)	251,359.11	262,918.27	274,908.44
Shares Outstanding (M)	771.18	771.18	771.18
Fair Value	$325.94	$340.93	$356.48
Upside / Downside	196.31%	209.94%	224.07%

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PT Prima Globalindo Logistik Tbk (PPGL.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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