DDM Analysis: ORIA.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$355.69 - $653.66	$478.66
Multi-Stage	$589.99 - $648.42	$618.64
Blended Fair Value	$548.65
Current Price	$173.00
Upside	217.14%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.67%	20.82%	3.30	2.75	2.51	0.06	0.05	1.90	1.73	1.70	0.63	0.55
YoY Growth	-	-	20.00%	9.68%	4,192.91%	17.50%	-97.38%	10.00%	1.58%	170.42%	15.00%	9.82%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.86%	1.48%	1.33%	0.03%	0.03%	1.00%	0.91%	0.96%	0.53%	0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	59.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	16.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)	42.60

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11.88	7.43	4.46
Cash Retained (M)	42.60	42.60	42.60
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11.88	-7.43	-4.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)	30.72	35.18	38.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2.41	2.41	2.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	12.73	14.57	15.80
LTM Dividend per Share	6.96	6.96	6.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share	12.73	14.57	15.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend	19.69	21.53	22.76
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	0.84%	1.84%	2.84%
Fair Value	$355.69	$478.66	$653.66
Upside / Downside	105.60%	176.68%	277.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	59.40	60.50	61.61	62.75	63.91	65.09	67.04
Payout Ratio	28.28%	40.62%	52.97%	65.31%	77.66%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	16.80	24.58	32.64	40.98	49.63	58.58	62.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	0.84%	1.84%	2.84%
Year 1 PV (M)	22.87	23.09	23.32
Year 2 PV (M)	28.25	28.81	29.38
Year 3 PV (M)	33.01	34.00	35.01
Year 4 PV (M)	37.19	38.68	40.23
Year 5 PV (M)	40.84	42.90	45.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,262.07	1,325.90	1,392.29
Equity Value (M)	1,424.22	1,493.40	1,565.28
Shares Outstanding (M)	2.41	2.41	2.41
Fair Value	$589.99	$618.64	$648.42
Upside / Downside	241.03%	257.60%	274.81%

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WLFC	Willis Lease Finance Corporation	0.99%	$1.32	7.58%
WOR	Worthington Industries, Inc.	0.99%	$0.52	23.95%
CNXN	PC Connection, Inc.	0.98%	$0.56	16.89%
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RRX	Regal Rexnord Corporation	0.95%	$1.39	36.07%
WT	WisdomTree, Inc.	0.95%	$0.12	18.12%
J	Jacobs Solutions Inc.	0.94%	$1.27	53.80%
ORCL	Oracle Corporation	0.94%	$1.84	34.81%
TCBS	Texas Community Bancshares, Inc.	0.94%	$0.17	19.22%
IMKTA	Ingles Markets, Incorporated	0.93%	$0.65	14.68%
ODC	Oil-Dri Corporation of America	0.93%	$0.45	12.28%
PENG	Penguin Solutions, Inc.	0.93%	$0.19	40.17%
SSBK	Southern States Bancshares, Inc.	0.93%	$0.34	9.19%
DAL	Delta Air Lines, Inc.	0.92%	$0.63	8.94%
HIFS	Hingham Institution for Savings	0.92%	$2.49	12.15%
RL	Ralph Lauren Corporation	0.92%	$3.34	24.37%
OPY	Oppenheimer Holdings Inc.	0.91%	$0.66	8.90%
BGC	BGC Group, Inc	0.90%	$0.08	23.56%
CDRE	Cadre Holdings, Inc.	0.90%	$0.37	33.35%
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JBHT	J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.	0.89%	$1.75	30.14%
NYT	The New York Times Company	0.89%	$0.62	30.32%
RMD	ResMed Inc.	0.89%	$2.18	22.31%
VBFC	Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp.	0.89%	$0.72	15.35%
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LMAT	LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.	0.88%	$0.70	32.20%
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SMBK	SmartFinancial, Inc.	0.88%	$0.32	11.76%
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ROST	Ross Stores, Inc.	0.87%	$1.59	24.85%
BBSI	Barrett Business Services, Inc.	0.86%	$0.31	15.02%
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Fiducial Real Estate S.A. (ORIA.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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