DDM Analysis: MGLU3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$25.04 - $98.75	$68.68
Multi-Stage	$12.33 - $13.48	$12.89
Blended Fair Value	$40.79
Current Price	$9.60
Upside	324.87%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.00	0.13	0.20	0.40	0.25	0.15	0.04	0.00	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-100.00%	-31.59%	-51.19%	64.51%	59.27%	253.03%	0.00%	-100.00%	6.35%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.41%	0.29%	0.20%	0.25%	0.29%	0.14%	0.00%	3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	367.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	225.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	142.82

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	73.56	45.98	27.59
Cash Retained (M)	142.82	142.82	142.82
(-) Cash Required (M)	-73.56	-45.98	-27.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)	69.25	96.84	115.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	740.74	740.74	740.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.13	0.16
LTM Dividend per Share	0.30	0.30	0.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.13	0.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.40	0.43	0.46
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$25.04	$68.68	$98.75
Upside / Downside	160.83%	615.43%	928.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	367.82	391.73	417.19	444.31	473.19	503.94	519.06
Payout Ratio	61.17%	66.94%	72.70%	78.47%	84.23%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	225.00	262.21	303.31	348.64	398.58	453.55	480.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	242.36	244.66	246.96
Year 2 PV (M)	259.13	264.06	269.05
Year 3 PV (M)	275.31	283.21	291.27
Year 4 PV (M)	290.92	302.11	313.62
Year 5 PV (M)	305.98	320.76	336.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,760.82	8,135.67	8,524.87
Equity Value (M)	9,134.53	9,550.48	9,981.86
Shares Outstanding (M)	740.74	740.74	740.74
Fair Value	$12.33	$12.89	$13.48
Upside / Downside	28.45%	34.30%	40.37%

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Magazine Luiza S.A. (MGLU3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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