Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mega Lifesciences Public Company Limited (MEGA-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$185.85 - $452.28$423.85
Multi-Stage$67.49 - $73.79$70.58
Blended Fair Value$247.22
Current Price$31.00
Upside697.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.67%19.11%1.611.661.621.060.770.710.710.540.470.41
YoY Growth---3.11%2.40%52.30%37.71%8.43%0.59%31.50%14.70%15.23%45.77%
Dividend Yield--5.49%3.86%3.88%2.34%2.25%3.21%2.07%1.30%1.77%2.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,974.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,395.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)579.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)394.87246.80148.08
Cash Retained (M)579.08579.08579.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-394.87-246.80-148.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)184.21332.29431.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)868.16868.16868.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.380.50
LTM Dividend per Share1.611.611.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.380.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.821.992.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$185.85$423.85$452.28
Upside / Downside499.52%1,267.27%1,358.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,974.372,102.702,239.382,384.942,539.962,705.052,786.21
Payout Ratio70.67%74.54%78.40%82.27%86.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,395.291,567.271,755.721,962.042,187.772,434.552,577.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,457.351,471.161,484.98
Year 2 PV (M)1,518.081,546.991,576.18
Year 3 PV (M)1,577.491,622.771,668.92
Year 4 PV (M)1,635.611,698.511,763.21
Year 5 PV (M)1,692.451,774.201,859.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,715.1953,164.7555,708.07
Equity Value (M)58,596.1661,278.3964,060.42
Shares Outstanding (M)868.16868.16868.16
Fair Value$67.49$70.58$73.79
Upside / Downside117.72%127.69%138.03%

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