DDM Analysis: KCR.HE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$131.35 - $442.21	$214.88
Multi-Stage	$118.13 - $129.43	$123.68
Blended Fair Value	$169.28
Current Price	$67.35
Upside	151.34%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	2.47%	5.81%	1.35	1.25	1.25	0.88	1.20	1.19	1.19	1.04	0.78	0.78
YoY Growth	-	-	7.98%	0.10%	42.10%	-26.74%	0.42%	0.00%	14.95%	33.39%	0.33%	1.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.29%	2.61%	4.04%	3.14%	3.15%	7.64%	3.59%	2.94%	2.34%	3.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	386.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	130.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	255.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	77.20	48.25	28.95
Cash Retained (M)	255.30	255.30	255.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-77.20	-48.25	-28.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	178.10	207.05	226.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	79.31	79.31	79.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.25	2.61	2.85
LTM Dividend per Share	1.65	1.65	1.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.25	2.61	2.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.89	4.26	4.50
WACC / Discount Rate	6.88%	6.88%	6.88%
Growth Rate	3.81%	4.81%	5.81%
Fair Value	$131.35	$214.88	$442.21
Upside / Downside	95.03%	219.04%	556.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	386.00	404.55	423.99	444.36	465.72	488.09	502.74
Payout Ratio	33.86%	45.09%	56.32%	67.54%	78.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	130.70	182.40	238.77	300.14	366.85	439.28	465.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.88%	6.88%	6.88%
Growth Rate	3.81%	4.81%	5.81%
Year 1 PV (M)	169.03	170.66	172.29
Year 2 PV (M)	205.04	209.01	213.02
Year 3 PV (M)	238.84	245.81	252.92
Year 4 PV (M)	270.53	281.10	291.99
Year 5 PV (M)	300.19	314.93	330.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,184.99	8,586.91	9,004.46
Equity Value (M)	9,368.62	9,808.42	10,264.91
Shares Outstanding (M)	79.31	79.31	79.31
Fair Value	$118.13	$123.68	$129.43
Upside / Downside	75.40%	83.63%	92.18%

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TCBS	Texas Community Bancshares, Inc.	0.94%	$0.17	19.22%
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ODC	Oil-Dri Corporation of America	0.93%	$0.45	12.28%
PENG	Penguin Solutions, Inc.	0.93%	$0.19	40.17%
SSBK	Southern States Bancshares, Inc.	0.93%	$0.34	9.19%
DAL	Delta Air Lines, Inc.	0.92%	$0.63	8.94%
HIFS	Hingham Institution for Savings	0.92%	$2.49	12.15%
RL	Ralph Lauren Corporation	0.92%	$3.34	24.37%
OPY	Oppenheimer Holdings Inc.	0.91%	$0.66	8.90%
BGC	BGC Group, Inc	0.90%	$0.08	23.56%
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JBHT	J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.	0.89%	$1.75	30.14%
NYT	The New York Times Company	0.89%	$0.62	30.32%
RMD	ResMed Inc.	0.89%	$2.18	22.31%
VBFC	Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp.	0.89%	$0.72	15.35%
0I14.L	Cognex Corporation	0.88%	$0.32	49.16%
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LMAT	LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.	0.88%	$0.70	32.20%
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BBSI	Barrett Business Services, Inc.	0.86%	$0.31	15.02%
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HXL	Hexcel Corporation	0.86%	$0.66	77.18%

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Konecranes Plc (KCR.HE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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