DDM Analysis: ISSP.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,687.63 - $14,818.54	$5,183.87
Multi-Stage	$2,140.33 - $2,347.15	$2,241.81
Blended Fair Value	$3,712.84
Current Price	$330.00
Upside	1,025.10%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	22.12%	15.00	6.00	9.00	6.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.50	5.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	150.00%	-33.33%	50.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-70.00%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.73%	2.07%	3.57%	1.44%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	1.17%	2.25%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	533,854.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	105,980.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	427,874.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	106,770.80	66,731.75	40,039.05
Cash Retained (M)	427,874.00	427,874.00	427,874.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-106,770.80	-66,731.75	-40,039.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)	321,103.20	361,142.25	387,834.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	7,065.34	7,065.34	7,065.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share	45.45	51.11	54.89
LTM Dividend per Share	15.00	15.00	15.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	45.45	51.11	54.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend	60.45	66.11	69.89
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	4.01%	5.01%	6.01%
Fair Value	$2,687.63	$5,183.87	$14,818.54
Upside / Downside	714.43%	1,470.87%	4,390.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	533,854.00	560,596.88	588,679.42	618,168.72	649,135.26	681,653.04	702,102.63
Payout Ratio	19.85%	33.88%	47.91%	61.94%	75.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	105,980.00	189,938.61	282,042.91	382,898.33	493,150.48	613,487.73	649,444.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	4.01%	5.01%	6.01%
Year 1 PV (M)	176,899.07	178,599.87	180,300.67
Year 2 PV (M)	244,646.95	249,373.89	254,146.06
Year 3 PV (M)	309,328.83	318,337.03	327,518.44
Year 4 PV (M)	371,046.81	385,523.67	400,420.08
Year 5 PV (M)	429,899.99	450,967.63	472,853.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)	13,590,337.66	14,256,344.36	14,948,209.45
Equity Value (M)	15,122,159.33	15,839,146.46	16,583,447.94
Shares Outstanding (M)	7,065.34	7,065.34	7,065.34
Fair Value	$2,140.33	$2,241.81	$2,347.15
Upside / Downside	548.58%	579.34%	611.26%

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Financial Statements

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PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk (ISSP.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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