Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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i3 Energy Plc (I3E.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.27 - $0.39$0.33
Multi-Stage$0.43 - $0.47$0.45
Blended Fair Value$0.39
Current Price$0.10
Upside287.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---13.39%349.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.26%5.12%2.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.325.833.50
Cash Retained (M)39.4439.4439.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.32-5.83-3.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.1233.6135.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,215.651,215.651,215.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.27$0.33$0.39
Upside / Downside169.95%227.67%288.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46.6246.1545.6945.2444.7844.3445.67
Payout Ratio15.40%30.32%45.24%60.16%75.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.1813.9920.6727.2133.6239.9042.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.6912.8212.95
Year 2 PV (M)17.0017.3517.70
Year 3 PV (M)20.3020.9321.57
Year 4 PV (M)22.7523.6924.66
Year 5 PV (M)24.4825.7627.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)421.50443.45466.31
Equity Value (M)518.73544.00570.27
Shares Outstanding (M)1,215.651,215.651,215.65
Fair Value$0.43$0.45$0.47
Upside / Downside327.14%347.95%369.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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