Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Grande Group Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (GRAN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.15 - $3.16$2.64
Multi-Stage$3.80 - $4.18$3.98
Blended Fair Value$3.31
Current Price$4.60
Upside-28.04%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023
DPS0.00%0.00%0.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.680.430.26
Cash Retained (M)2.652.652.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.68-0.43-0.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.962.222.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.3412.3412.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.220.240.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.15$2.64$3.16
Upside / Downside-53.26%-42.68%-31.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.423.383.353.323.283.253.35
Payout Ratio22.51%36.01%49.51%63.00%76.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.771.221.662.092.512.923.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.10%8.10%8.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.121.131.14
Year 2 PV (M)1.391.421.45
Year 3 PV (M)1.601.651.70
Year 4 PV (M)1.771.841.91
Year 5 PV (M)1.881.982.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)39.1141.1443.26
Equity Value (M)46.8749.1651.55
Shares Outstanding (M)12.3412.3412.34
Fair Value$3.80$3.98$4.18
Upside / Downside-17.44%-13.39%-9.18%

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