DDM Analysis: FRAGUAB.MX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,736.96 - $9,737.06	$9,125.06
Multi-Stage	$1,384.75 - $1,515.84	$1,449.09
Blended Fair Value	$5,287.07
Current Price	$552.00
Upside	857.80%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	34.62%	26.12%	12.22	10.70	9.68	9.02	2.94	2.77	1.60	1.50	1.40	1.30
YoY Growth	-	-	14.22%	10.51%	7.37%	206.45%	6.45%	72.79%	6.67%	7.14%	7.69%	8.33%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.33%	1.56%	2.02%	2.72%	1.09%	1.15%	0.60%	0.61%	0.62%	0.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,022.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,546.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,475.28

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,004.45	627.78	376.67
Cash Retained (M)	3,475.28	3,475.28	3,475.28
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,004.45	-627.78	-376.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,470.83	2,847.50	3,098.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	102.58	102.58	102.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share	24.09	27.76	30.21
LTM Dividend per Share	15.08	15.08	15.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	24.09	27.76	30.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend	39.17	42.84	45.29
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$3,736.96	$9,125.06	$9,737.06
Upside / Downside	576.98%	1,553.09%	1,663.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,022.26	5,348.71	5,696.37	6,066.64	6,460.97	6,880.93	7,087.36
Payout Ratio	30.80%	42.64%	54.48%	66.32%	78.16%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,546.98	2,280.79	3,103.47	4,023.45	5,049.93	6,192.84	6,555.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.61%	6.61%	6.61%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,119.38	2,139.47	2,159.55
Year 2 PV (M)	2,679.73	2,730.77	2,782.30
Year 3 PV (M)	3,228.24	3,320.91	3,415.33
Year 4 PV (M)	3,765.07	3,909.87	4,058.80
Year 5 PV (M)	4,290.42	4,497.65	4,712.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)	125,961.05	132,045.02	138,361.83
Equity Value (M)	142,043.90	148,643.69	155,490.63
Shares Outstanding (M)	102.58	102.58	102.58
Fair Value	$1,384.75	$1,449.09	$1,515.84
Upside / Downside	150.86%	162.52%	174.61%

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Corporativo Fragua, S.A.B. de C.V. (FRAGUAB.MX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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