Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Futebol Clube do Porto - Futebol, S.A.D. (FCP.LS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.71 - $10.05$8.29
Multi-Stage$12.54 - $13.82$13.17
Blended Fair Value$10.73
Current Price$1.05
Upside922.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.020.020.000.000.000.020.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-2.39%0.00%-100.00%269.50%-97.30%1,015.91%86.31%-35.03%39.85%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.46%1.56%0.00%0.30%0.07%3.08%0.28%0.17%0.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.642.271.36
Cash Retained (M)17.8017.8017.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.64-2.27-1.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.1715.5316.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.5022.5022.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.690.73
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.690.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.71$8.29$10.05
Upside / Downside539.07%689.78%856.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.1818.0017.8217.6417.4617.2917.81
Payout Ratio2.05%19.64%37.23%54.82%72.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.373.536.639.6712.6415.5616.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.44%7.44%7.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.263.293.32
Year 2 PV (M)5.635.755.86
Year 3 PV (M)7.567.808.03
Year 4 PV (M)9.119.499.88
Year 5 PV (M)10.3310.8711.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)246.34259.17272.52
Equity Value (M)282.23296.36311.05
Shares Outstanding (M)22.5022.5022.50
Fair Value$12.54$13.17$13.82
Upside / Downside1,094.63%1,154.42%1,216.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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