DDM Analysis: EGATIF.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.84 - $3.94	$3.39
Multi-Stage	$7.02 - $7.76	$7.38
Blended Fair Value	$5.39
Current Price	$5.85
Upside	-7.93%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-13.98%	0.00%	0.37	0.35	0.23	0.62	0.84	0.79	0.78	0.72	0.52	0.11
YoY Growth	-	-	4.67%	54.16%	-62.93%	-25.99%	6.35%	0.38%	8.82%	39.81%	368.18%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.28%	6.00%	3.45%	5.58%	6.86%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,056.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	236.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)	820.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	211.36	132.10	79.26
Cash Retained (M)	820.51	820.51	820.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-211.36	-132.10	-79.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)	609.15	688.41	741.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,085.50	2,085.50	2,085.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.29	0.33	0.36
LTM Dividend per Share	0.11	0.11	0.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.29	0.33	0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.41	0.44	0.47
WACC / Discount Rate	7.13%	7.13%	7.13%
Growth Rate	-6.27%	-5.27%	-4.27%
Fair Value	$2.84	$3.39	$3.94
Upside / Downside	-51.52%	-42.09%	-32.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,056.79	1,001.09	948.33	898.34	850.99	806.14	830.32
Payout Ratio	22.36%	35.89%	49.42%	62.94%	76.47%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	236.28	359.26	468.62	565.45	650.77	725.52	768.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.13%	7.13%	7.13%
Growth Rate	-6.27%	-5.27%	-4.27%
Year 1 PV (M)	331.82	335.36	338.90
Year 2 PV (M)	399.76	408.34	417.00
Year 3 PV (M)	445.52	459.93	474.65
Year 4 PV (M)	473.57	494.11	515.31
Year 5 PV (M)	487.65	514.22	541.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)	12,507.60	13,189.21	13,900.22
Equity Value (M)	14,645.91	15,401.16	16,188.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,085.50	2,085.50	2,085.50
Fair Value	$7.02	$7.38	$7.76
Upside / Downside	20.05%	26.24%	32.69%

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Electricity Generating Authority Of Thailand- North Bangkok Power Plant Block 1 Infrastructure Fund (EGATIF.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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