DDM Analysis: CHDRAUIB.MX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$446.84 - $1,324.24	$1,241.01
Multi-Stage	$178.37 - $195.34	$186.70
Blended Fair Value	$713.86
Current Price	$149.00
Upside	379.10%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	23.75%	0.00%	1.18	0.93	0.52	0.48	0.45	0.41	0.39	0.33	0.26	0.25
YoY Growth	-	-	26.82%	78.22%	10.00%	7.01%	9.09%	4.14%	18.40%	29.26%	2.12%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.03%	0.70%	0.51%	0.93%	1.38%	1.63%	1.01%	0.86%	0.63%	0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,401.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,006.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,395.52

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,280.31	800.20	480.12
Cash Retained (M)	5,395.52	5,395.52	5,395.52
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,280.31	-800.20	-480.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,115.21	4,595.32	4,915.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	961.39	961.39	961.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.28	4.78	5.11
LTM Dividend per Share	1.05	1.05	1.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.28	4.78	5.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.33	5.83	6.16
WACC / Discount Rate	6.76%	6.76%	6.76%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$446.84	$1,241.01	$1,324.24
Upside / Downside	199.89%	732.89%	788.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,401.56	6,817.67	7,260.81	7,732.77	8,235.40	8,770.70	9,033.82
Payout Ratio	15.72%	30.57%	45.43%	60.29%	75.14%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,006.04	2,084.33	3,298.54	4,661.79	6,188.33	7,893.63	8,356.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.76%	6.76%	6.76%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,934.06	1,952.39	1,970.72
Year 2 PV (M)	2,840.07	2,894.17	2,948.77
Year 3 PV (M)	3,724.47	3,831.38	3,940.33
Year 4 PV (M)	4,587.63	4,764.06	4,945.52
Year 5 PV (M)	5,429.94	5,692.21	5,964.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)	152,971.19	160,359.75	168,031.10
Equity Value (M)	171,487.36	179,493.96	187,800.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	961.39	961.39	961.39
Fair Value	$178.37	$186.70	$195.34
Upside / Downside	19.71%	25.30%	31.10%

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Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. (CHDRAUIB.MX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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