Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CeoTronics AG (CEK.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.15 - $159.82$149.78
Multi-Stage$21.26 - $23.27$22.25
Blended Fair Value$86.01
Current Price$14.45
Upside495.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.150.130.130.110.000.000.000.040.000.00
YoY Growth--10.00%0.00%25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.01%2.14%3.26%1.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.06%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.200.750.45
Cash Retained (M)3.913.913.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.20-0.75-0.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.713.163.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.457.457.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.420.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.420.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$50.15$149.78$159.82
Upside / Downside247.04%936.51%1,006.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.996.386.797.237.708.218.45
Payout Ratio34.71%45.77%56.83%67.89%78.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.082.923.864.916.087.387.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.712.732.76
Year 2 PV (M)3.323.383.44
Year 3 PV (M)3.914.034.14
Year 4 PV (M)4.494.674.84
Year 5 PV (M)5.065.305.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)138.97145.68152.65
Equity Value (M)158.46165.79173.39
Shares Outstanding (M)7.457.457.45
Fair Value$21.26$22.25$23.27
Upside / Downside47.15%53.95%61.01%

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