DDM Analysis: CCJ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$25.79 - $61.52	$38.12
Multi-Stage	$17.98 - $19.66	$18.80
Blended Fair Value	$28.46
Current Price	$116.73
Upside	-75.62%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	23.36%	-7.88%	0.16	0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.06	0.16	0.36	0.36	0.36
YoY Growth	-	-	33.72%	0.35%	62.99%	28.21%	1.87%	-65.77%	-55.01%	-0.01%	0.00%	0.07%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.27%	0.19%	0.34%	0.20%	0.27%	0.52%	1.03%	3.05%	2.47%	2.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	525.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	69.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)	456.34

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	105.20	65.75	39.45
Cash Retained (M)	456.34	456.34	456.34
(-) Cash Required (M)	-105.20	-65.75	-39.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)	351.15	390.60	416.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	435.70	435.70	435.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.81	0.90	0.96
LTM Dividend per Share	0.16	0.16	0.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.81	0.90	0.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.97	1.06	1.12
WACC / Discount Rate	9.45%	9.45%	9.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$25.79	$38.12	$61.52
Upside / Downside	-77.91%	-67.35%	-47.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	525.98	560.17	596.58	635.36	676.66	720.64	742.26
Payout Ratio	13.24%	28.59%	43.94%	59.30%	74.65%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	69.64	160.17	262.16	376.74	505.11	648.58	686.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.45%	9.45%	9.45%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	144.96	146.33	147.71
Year 2 PV (M)	214.75	218.84	222.97
Year 3 PV (M)	279.31	287.33	295.50
Year 4 PV (M)	338.93	351.97	365.38
Year 5 PV (M)	393.89	412.91	432.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,463.32	6,775.51	7,099.63
Equity Value (M)	7,835.17	8,192.89	8,563.86
Shares Outstanding (M)	435.70	435.70	435.70
Fair Value	$17.98	$18.80	$19.66
Upside / Downside	-84.59%	-83.89%	-83.16%

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Cameco Corporation (CCJ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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