DDM Analysis: BCO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$85.75 - $209.17	$127.69
Multi-Stage	$65.35 - $71.45	$68.35
Blended Fair Value	$98.02
Current Price	$116.86
Upside	-16.13%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.93%	7.98%	0.97	0.92	0.87	0.86	0.70	0.69	0.71	0.64	0.46	0.45
YoY Growth	-	-	5.56%	5.32%	1.08%	23.59%	0.67%	-1.64%	9.75%	39.90%	1.54%	0.52%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.13%	1.01%	1.31%	1.27%	0.88%	1.33%	0.91%	0.90%	0.86%	1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	170.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	42.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	127.90

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	34.02	21.26	12.76
Cash Retained (M)	127.90	127.90	127.90
(-) Cash Required (M)	-34.02	-21.26	-12.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)	93.88	106.64	115.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	43.04	43.04	43.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.18	2.48	2.68
LTM Dividend per Share	0.98	0.98	0.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.18	2.48	2.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.16	3.46	3.66
WACC / Discount Rate	8.80%	8.80%	8.80%
Growth Rate	4.93%	5.93%	6.93%
Fair Value	$85.75	$127.69	$209.17
Upside / Downside	-26.62%	9.26%	78.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	170.10	180.19	190.87	202.19	214.18	226.89	233.69
Payout Ratio	24.81%	37.85%	50.89%	63.92%	76.96%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	42.20	68.20	97.13	129.25	164.84	204.20	216.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.80%	8.80%	8.80%
Growth Rate	4.93%	5.93%	6.93%
Year 1 PV (M)	62.09	62.68	63.27
Year 2 PV (M)	80.51	82.05	83.61
Year 3 PV (M)	97.54	100.36	103.23
Year 4 PV (M)	113.26	117.64	122.15
Year 5 PV (M)	127.74	133.94	140.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,331.81	2,445.06	2,562.67
Equity Value (M)	2,812.95	2,941.74	3,075.31
Shares Outstanding (M)	43.04	43.04	43.04
Fair Value	$65.35	$68.35	$71.45
Upside / Downside	-44.07%	-41.51%	-38.86%

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The Brink's Company (BCO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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