Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Allo Bank Indonesia Tbk (BBHI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$186.14 - $270.94$227.18
Multi-Stage$322.11 - $353.63$337.57
Blended Fair Value$282.37
Current Price$1,485.00
Upside-80.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)544,397.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)233,382.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)311,014.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108,879.4268,049.6440,829.78
Cash Retained (M)311,014.15311,014.15311,014.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-108,879.42-68,049.64-40,829.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)202,134.73242,964.52270,184.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21,716.2721,716.2721,716.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.3111.1912.44
LTM Dividend per Share10.7510.7510.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.3111.1912.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend20.0521.9423.19
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$186.14$227.18$270.94
Upside / Downside-87.47%-84.70%-81.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)544,397.11538,953.14533,563.61528,227.97522,945.69517,716.23533,247.72
Payout Ratio42.87%52.30%61.72%71.15%80.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)233,382.95281,850.86329,326.08375,823.60421,358.24465,944.61493,254.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)257,007.43259,629.95262,252.48
Year 2 PV (M)273,828.55279,445.40285,119.27
Year 3 PV (M)284,946.26293,758.41302,750.40
Year 4 PV (M)291,310.88303,384.36315,829.29
Year 5 PV (M)293,741.84309,037.66324,964.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,594,098.435,885,396.116,188,704.19
Equity Value (M)6,994,933.387,330,651.897,679,619.77
Shares Outstanding (M)21,716.2721,716.2721,716.27
Fair Value$322.11$337.57$353.63
Upside / Downside-78.31%-77.27%-76.19%

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