Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

STIF S.a. (ALSTI.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.83 - $40.98$34.81
Multi-Stage$42.75 - $47.01$44.84
Blended Fair Value$39.83
Current Price$65.00
Upside-38.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.200.170.160.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%14.32%7.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.532.201.32
Cash Retained (M)16.6716.6716.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.53-2.20-1.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.1414.4615.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.084.084.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.223.553.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.223.553.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.463.784.00
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$28.83$34.81$40.98
Upside / Downside-55.65%-46.44%-36.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17.6317.4617.2817.1116.9416.7717.27
Payout Ratio5.48%22.38%39.29%56.19%73.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.973.916.799.6112.3815.0915.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.523.563.60
Year 2 PV (M)5.525.645.75
Year 3 PV (M)7.057.277.49
Year 4 PV (M)8.198.538.88
Year 5 PV (M)9.009.479.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)141.03148.37156.02
Equity Value (M)174.32182.84191.70
Shares Outstanding (M)4.084.084.08
Fair Value$42.75$44.84$47.01
Upside / Downside-34.23%-31.02%-27.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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