DDM Analysis: 8252.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,618.07 - $5,146.05	$3,615.01
Multi-Stage	$3,914.32 - $4,291.89	$4,099.54
Blended Fair Value	$3,857.27
Current Price	$3,174.00
Upside	21.53%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	10.74%	14.77%	107.49	83.66	60.54	60.61	55.57	64.53	52.00	43.75	35.13	29.66
YoY Growth	-	-	28.49%	38.19%	-0.11%	9.06%	-13.89%	24.11%	18.85%	24.54%	18.46%	9.42%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.51%	3.64%	2.41%	2.55%	2.66%	3.32%	2.32%	1.87%	2.12%	2.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	29,264.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	19,523.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	9,741.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,852.80	3,658.00	2,194.80
Cash Retained (M)	9,741.00	9,741.00	9,741.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,852.80	-3,658.00	-2,194.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3,888.20	6,083.00	7,546.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	181.78	181.78	181.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	21.39	33.46	41.51
LTM Dividend per Share	107.40	107.40	107.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share	21.39	33.46	41.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend	128.79	140.86	148.91
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	1.60%	2.60%	3.60%
Fair Value	$2,618.07	$3,615.01	$5,146.05
Upside / Downside	-17.52%	13.89%	62.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	29,264.00	30,024.64	30,805.04	31,605.73	32,427.24	33,270.09	34,268.20
Payout Ratio	66.71%	71.37%	76.03%	80.69%	85.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	19,523.00	21,428.79	23,420.46	25,501.20	27,674.27	29,943.08	31,698.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	1.60%	2.60%	3.60%
Year 1 PV (M)	19,906.68	20,102.61	20,298.55
Year 2 PV (M)	20,211.47	20,611.29	21,015.03
Year 3 PV (M)	20,443.91	21,053.54	21,675.16
Year 4 PV (M)	20,610.14	21,433.62	22,281.55
Year 5 PV (M)	20,715.83	21,755.59	22,836.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)	609,667.98	640,268.02	672,084.60
Equity Value (M)	711,556.01	745,224.67	780,191.56
Shares Outstanding (M)	181.78	181.78	181.78
Fair Value	$3,914.32	$4,099.54	$4,291.89
Upside / Downside	23.32%	29.16%	35.22%

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Marui Group Co., Ltd. (8252.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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