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Definitive Analysis

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Eui (7738.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$121.65 - $184.34$151.15
Multi-Stage$249.83 - $274.88$262.11
Blended Fair Value$206.63
Current Price$232.00
Upside-10.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%2.000.400.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--400.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.25%0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)348.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)136.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)212.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.7843.6126.17
Cash Retained (M)212.21212.21212.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.78-43.61-26.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)142.43168.60186.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.8924.8924.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.726.777.47
LTM Dividend per Share5.495.495.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.726.777.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.2212.2712.97
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$121.65$151.15$184.34
Upside / Downside-47.56%-34.85%-20.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)348.92345.43341.98338.56335.17331.82341.77
Payout Ratio39.18%49.34%59.51%69.67%79.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)136.71170.45203.50235.88267.59298.64316.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)157.64159.25160.86
Year 2 PV (M)174.06177.63181.24
Year 3 PV (M)186.59192.36198.25
Year 4 PV (M)195.76203.88212.24
Year 5 PV (M)202.06212.58223.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,301.815,577.895,865.35
Equity Value (M)6,217.926,523.596,841.47
Shares Outstanding (M)24.8924.8924.89
Fair Value$249.83$262.11$274.88
Upside / Downside7.68%12.98%18.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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