DDM Analysis: 688668.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$28.27 - $60.15	$40.18
Multi-Stage	$21.05 - $22.97	$21.99
Blended Fair Value	$31.08
Current Price	$94.91
Upside	-67.25%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	33.89%	0.00%	0.36	0.50	0.38	0.32	0.02	0.08	0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-28.22%	32.66%	18.15%	1,389.08%	-74.32%	-43.76%	43,097.68%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.80%	1.30%	0.85%	0.83%	0.12%	0.26%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	208.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	70.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)	138.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	41.71	26.07	15.64
Cash Retained (M)	138.32	138.32	138.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-41.71	-26.07	-15.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)	96.61	112.25	122.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	138.98	138.98	138.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.70	0.81	0.88
LTM Dividend per Share	0.51	0.51	0.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.70	0.81	0.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.20	1.31	1.39
WACC / Discount Rate	9.98%	9.98%	9.98%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$28.27	$40.18	$60.15
Upside / Downside	-70.22%	-57.67%	-36.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	208.57	222.12	236.56	251.94	268.32	285.76	294.33
Payout Ratio	33.68%	44.95%	56.21%	67.47%	78.74%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	70.25	99.83	132.97	169.99	211.26	257.18	272.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.98%	9.98%	9.98%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	89.92	90.77	91.63
Year 2 PV (M)	107.88	109.93	112.00
Year 3 PV (M)	124.22	127.78	131.42
Year 4 PV (M)	139.05	144.39	149.89
Year 5 PV (M)	152.46	159.83	167.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,312.04	2,423.71	2,539.66
Equity Value (M)	2,925.56	3,056.42	3,192.07
Shares Outstanding (M)	138.98	138.98	138.98
Fair Value	$21.05	$21.99	$22.97
Upside / Downside	-77.82%	-76.83%	-75.80%

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Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co., Ltd. (688668.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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