DDM Analysis: 688628.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$108.13 - $299.72	$280.88
Multi-Stage	$43.44 - $47.45	$45.41
Blended Fair Value	$163.14
Current Price	$35.90
Upside	354.44%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	99.79%	0.00%	1.22	0.38	0.30	0.45	0.19	0.04	0.05	0.22	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	222.19%	26.56%	-33.08%	139.65%	386.82%	-21.75%	-77.24%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.18%	0.90%	0.72%	1.65%	0.63%	0.05%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	166.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	146.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)	20.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	33.38	20.86	12.52
Cash Retained (M)	20.86	20.86	20.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-33.38	-20.86	-12.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-12.53	-0.01	8.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	110.76	110.76	110.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.11	0.00	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	1.32	1.32	1.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.11	0.00	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.21	1.32	1.39
WACC / Discount Rate	6.68%	6.68%	6.68%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$108.13	$280.88	$299.72
Upside / Downside	201.21%	682.39%	734.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	166.92	177.77	189.32	201.63	214.74	228.69	235.55
Payout Ratio	87.50%	88.00%	88.50%	89.00%	89.50%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	146.06	156.44	167.56	179.45	192.19	205.82	217.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.68%	6.68%	6.68%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	145.28	146.65	148.03
Year 2 PV (M)	144.49	147.24	150.02
Year 3 PV (M)	143.70	147.83	152.03
Year 4 PV (M)	142.91	148.41	154.06
Year 5 PV (M)	142.13	148.99	156.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,092.59	4,290.26	4,495.50
Equity Value (M)	4,811.09	5,029.38	5,255.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	110.76	110.76	110.76
Fair Value	$43.44	$45.41	$47.45
Upside / Downside	21.00%	26.49%	32.18%

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Uni-Trend Technology (China) Co., Ltd. (688628.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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