DDM Analysis: 688367.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.68 - $5.78	$3.83
Multi-Stage	$1.90 - $2.08	$1.99
Blended Fair Value	$2.91
Current Price	$21.80
Upside	-86.65%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2014
DPS	-7.25%	44.43%	0.10	0.21	0.20	0.00	0.15	0.15	0.00	0.07	0.02	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	-52.22%	7.57%	7,526.13%	-98.27%	1.37%	0.00%	-100.00%	355.43%	-83.33%	3,690.60%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.65%	1.52%	1.09%	0.01%	0.63%	0.62%	0.00%	0.31%	0.07%	0.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	12.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)	12.13

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.46	1.54	0.92
Cash Retained (M)	12.13	12.13	12.13
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.46	-1.54	-0.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)	9.67	10.59	11.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	87.77	87.77	87.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.12	0.13
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.11	0.12	0.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.11	0.12	0.13
WACC / Discount Rate	9.91%	9.91%	9.91%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$2.68	$3.83	$5.78
Upside / Downside	-87.69%	-82.43%	-73.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	12.30	13.10	13.95	14.86	15.83	16.86	17.36
Payout Ratio	1.39%	19.11%	36.83%	54.55%	72.28%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.17	2.50	5.14	8.11	11.44	15.17	16.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.91%	9.91%	9.91%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2.26	2.28	2.30
Year 2 PV (M)	4.17	4.25	4.33
Year 3 PV (M)	5.94	6.11	6.28
Year 4 PV (M)	7.55	7.84	8.14
Year 5 PV (M)	9.02	9.46	9.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)	138.22	144.90	151.83
Equity Value (M)	167.16	174.84	182.79
Shares Outstanding (M)	87.77	87.77	87.77
Fair Value	$1.90	$1.99	$2.08
Upside / Downside	-91.26%	-90.86%	-90.45%

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Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co.,Ltd. (688367.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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