DDM Analysis: 6850.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$18,113.29 - $21,341.13	$19,999.48
Multi-Stage	$14,130.47 - $15,513.41	$14,809.00
Blended Fair Value	$17,404.24
Current Price	$1,300.00
Upside	1,238.79%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	7.68%	6.30%	32.39	35.80	22.87	22.40	22.42	22.37	19.89	17.54	20.12	17.79
YoY Growth	-	-	-9.52%	56.56%	2.10%	-0.08%	0.20%	12.46%	13.43%	-12.81%	13.10%	1.17%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.66%	2.71%	1.85%	2.70%	2.95%	3.22%	2.91%	2.06%	3.23%	3.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,828.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	169.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,658.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	365.60	228.50	137.10
Cash Retained (M)	1,658.50	1,658.50	1,658.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-365.60	-228.50	-137.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,292.90	1,430.00	1,521.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	17.01	17.01	17.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share	76.01	84.07	89.44
LTM Dividend per Share	9.97	9.97	9.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share	76.01	84.07	89.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend	85.98	94.04	99.41
WACC / Discount Rate	-0.69%	-0.69%	-0.69%
Growth Rate	5.34%	6.34%	7.34%
Fair Value	$18,113.29	$19,999.48	$21,341.13
Upside / Downside	1,293.33%	1,438.42%	1,541.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,828.00	1,943.90	2,067.14	2,198.20	2,337.56	2,485.76	2,560.34
Payout Ratio	9.27%	25.42%	41.56%	57.71%	73.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	169.50	494.10	859.17	1,268.56	1,726.39	2,237.19	2,368.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-0.69%	-0.69%	-0.69%
Growth Rate	5.34%	6.34%	7.34%
Year 1 PV (M)	492.84	497.52	502.20
Year 2 PV (M)	854.80	871.11	887.57
Year 3 PV (M)	1,258.88	1,295.07	1,331.96
Year 4 PV (M)	1,708.86	1,774.68	1,842.38
Year 5 PV (M)	2,208.82	2,315.68	2,426.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)	233,828.46	245,139.94	256,885.00
Equity Value (M)	240,352.66	251,893.99	263,875.72
Shares Outstanding (M)	17.01	17.01	17.01
Fair Value	$14,130.47	$14,809.00	$15,513.41
Upside / Downside	986.96%	1,039.15%	1,093.34%

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WLFC	Willis Lease Finance Corporation	0.99%	$1.32	7.58%
WOR	Worthington Industries, Inc.	0.99%	$0.52	23.95%
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RRX	Regal Rexnord Corporation	0.95%	$1.39	36.07%
WT	WisdomTree, Inc.	0.95%	$0.12	18.12%
J	Jacobs Solutions Inc.	0.94%	$1.27	53.80%
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TCBS	Texas Community Bancshares, Inc.	0.94%	$0.17	19.22%
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ODC	Oil-Dri Corporation of America	0.93%	$0.45	12.28%
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SSBK	Southern States Bancshares, Inc.	0.93%	$0.34	9.19%
DAL	Delta Air Lines, Inc.	0.92%	$0.63	8.94%
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BBSI	Barrett Business Services, Inc.	0.86%	$0.31	15.02%
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Chino Corporation (6850.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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