Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Acmepoint Energy Services Co.,LTD (6692.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SolarSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.58 - $21.96$18.74
Multi-Stage$22.35 - $24.56$23.43
Blended Fair Value$21.09
Current Price$37.50
Upside-43.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-14.47%0.00%0.180.690.651.131.120.390.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---73.93%5.76%-42.24%0.52%185.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.46%2.53%1.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)140.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)130.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.1217.5810.55
Cash Retained (M)130.24130.24130.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.12-17.58-10.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)102.11112.66119.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.7757.7757.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.771.952.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.771.952.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.952.132.25
WACC / Discount Rate10.25%10.25%10.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$15.58$18.74$21.96
Upside / Downside-58.46%-50.03%-41.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)140.62139.22137.82136.45135.08133.73137.74
Payout Ratio7.39%23.91%40.43%56.95%73.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.3933.2955.7377.7199.25120.36127.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.25%10.25%10.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29.8930.1930.50
Year 2 PV (M)44.9245.8446.78
Year 3 PV (M)56.2557.9959.76
Year 4 PV (M)64.5067.1869.93
Year 5 PV (M)70.2373.8977.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,025.261,078.651,134.24
Equity Value (M)1,291.051,353.741,418.90
Shares Outstanding (M)57.7757.7757.77
Fair Value$22.35$23.43$24.56
Upside / Downside-40.41%-37.51%-34.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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