Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Morita Holdings Corporation (6455.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,744.04 - $16,533.35$9,001.02
Multi-Stage$6,074.51 - $6,663.78$6,363.60
Blended Fair Value$7,682.31
Current Price$2,324.00
Upside230.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.53%9.92%49.6347.6441.7640.0239.9139.7730.3630.3623.0428.51
YoY Growth--4.18%14.09%4.34%0.29%0.35%30.97%0.00%31.76%-19.17%47.96%
Dividend Yield--2.30%2.60%2.69%3.03%2.50%2.11%1.57%1.36%1.31%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,179.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,501.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,678.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,035.801,272.38763.43
Cash Retained (M)7,678.007,678.007,678.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,035.80-1,272.38-763.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,642.206,405.636,914.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.1843.1843.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share130.68148.36160.15
LTM Dividend per Share57.9257.9257.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share130.68148.36160.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend188.60206.28218.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Fair Value$5,744.04$9,001.02$16,533.35
Upside / Downside147.16%287.31%611.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,179.0010,601.6511,041.8411,500.3111,977.8212,475.1612,849.42
Payout Ratio24.57%37.66%50.74%63.83%76.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,501.003,992.175,602.867,340.439,212.6311,227.6411,885.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate3.15%4.15%5.15%
Year 1 PV (M)3,711.173,747.143,783.12
Year 2 PV (M)4,841.864,936.195,031.44
Year 3 PV (M)5,896.926,070.096,246.61
Year 4 PV (M)6,880.007,150.697,429.30
Year 5 PV (M)7,794.618,179.838,580.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)233,153.43244,676.12256,649.95
Equity Value (M)262,277.98274,760.07287,720.54
Shares Outstanding (M)43.1843.1843.18
Fair Value$6,074.51$6,363.60$6,663.78
Upside / Downside161.38%173.82%186.74%

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