Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PharmaEssentia Corporation (6446.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$86.60 - $123.04$104.55
Multi-Stage$128.52 - $141.30$134.79
Blended Fair Value$119.67
Current Price$515.00
Upside-76.76%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,804.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)366.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,438.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)960.90600.56360.34
Cash Retained (M)4,438.324,438.324,438.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-960.90-600.56-360.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,477.423,837.764,077.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)368.76368.76368.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.4310.4111.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.990.990.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.4310.4111.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.4211.4012.05
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$86.60$104.55$123.04
Upside / Downside-83.18%-79.70%-76.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,804.494,756.454,708.884,661.794,615.174,569.024,706.09
Payout Ratio7.62%24.10%40.57%57.05%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)366.171,146.171,910.532,659.493,393.274,112.124,353.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.79%9.79%9.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,033.381,043.921,054.46
Year 2 PV (M)1,553.011,584.861,617.04
Year 3 PV (M)1,949.072,009.352,070.85
Year 4 PV (M)2,242.122,335.052,430.83
Year 5 PV (M)2,449.722,577.282,710.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,167.1640,154.6242,224.01
Equity Value (M)47,394.4549,705.0752,107.31
Shares Outstanding (M)368.76368.76368.76
Fair Value$128.52$134.79$141.30
Upside / Downside-75.04%-73.83%-72.56%

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