DDM Analysis: 600642.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$68.79 - $161.75	$151.58
Multi-Stage	$23.55 - $25.79	$24.65
Blended Fair Value	$88.12
Current Price	$7.82
Upside	1,026.80%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	26.55%	12.41%	0.60	0.16	0.20	0.28	0.22	0.19	0.19	0.20	0.19	0.19
YoY Growth	-	-	279.65%	-20.00%	-28.57%	26.05%	18.70%	0.00%	-9.09%	10.00%	0.00%	-0.76%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.78%	2.00%	3.39%	4.60%	3.56%	3.53%	3.22%	3.56%	2.97%	3.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,978.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	732.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,245.53

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	795.66	497.29	298.37
Cash Retained (M)	3,245.53	3,245.53	3,245.53
(-) Cash Required (M)	-795.66	-497.29	-298.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,449.87	2,748.24	2,947.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,891.50	4,891.50	4,891.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.50	0.56	0.60
LTM Dividend per Share	0.15	0.15	0.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.50	0.56	0.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.65	0.71	0.75
WACC / Discount Rate	6.50%	6.50%	6.50%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$68.79	$151.58	$161.75
Upside / Downside	779.65%	1,838.36%	1,968.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,978.29	4,236.88	4,512.28	4,805.58	5,117.94	5,450.61	5,614.12
Payout Ratio	18.42%	32.74%	47.05%	61.37%	75.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	732.76	1,386.95	2,123.09	2,949.07	3,873.45	4,905.55	5,193.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.50%	6.50%	6.50%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,290.10	1,302.33	1,314.56
Year 2 PV (M)	1,836.93	1,871.92	1,907.24
Year 3 PV (M)	2,373.40	2,441.53	2,510.95
Year 4 PV (M)	2,899.65	3,011.16	3,125.86
Year 5 PV (M)	3,415.83	3,580.82	3,752.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	103,378.04	108,371.24	113,555.54
Equity Value (M)	115,193.96	120,579.01	126,166.27
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,891.50	4,891.50	4,891.50
Fair Value	$23.55	$24.65	$25.79
Upside / Downside	201.15%	215.23%	229.83%

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Shenergy Company Limited (600642.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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