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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Feida Environmental Science & Technology Co., Ltd. (600526.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.66 - $15.26$9.72
Multi-Stage$8.49 - $9.31$8.89
Blended Fair Value$9.30
Current Price$5.20
Upside78.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.99%-0.99%0.080.110.150.370.090.140.160.140.130.14
YoY Growth---27.40%-21.50%-61.18%308.58%-34.66%-9.99%11.43%8.20%-6.77%51.45%
Dividend Yield--1.68%2.43%2.78%5.92%1.24%2.31%2.99%1.80%1.10%0.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)285.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)137.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)147.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.1335.7121.42
Cash Retained (M)147.88147.88147.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.13-35.71-21.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)90.75112.17126.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)852.48852.48852.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.130.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Fair Value$6.66$9.72$15.26
Upside / Downside28.12%86.85%193.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)285.65295.42305.52315.96326.76337.93348.07
Payout Ratio48.23%56.59%64.94%73.29%81.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)137.78167.17198.40231.58266.79304.14321.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.42%3.42%4.42%
Year 1 PV (M)155.39156.90158.42
Year 2 PV (M)171.43174.79178.19
Year 3 PV (M)186.00191.50197.11
Year 4 PV (M)199.18207.08215.20
Year 5 PV (M)211.07221.58232.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,312.986,627.266,953.92
Equity Value (M)7,236.057,579.117,935.34
Shares Outstanding (M)852.48852.48852.48
Fair Value$8.49$8.89$9.31
Upside / Downside63.24%70.97%79.01%

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