DDM Analysis: 558.SI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.42 - $11.62	$5.25
Multi-Stage	$1.36 - $1.49	$1.42
Blended Fair Value	$3.34
Current Price	$1.33
Upside	150.76%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	15.37%	4.42%	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.03	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	5.97%	8.46%	47.26%	-15.00%	42.06%	-36.36%	10.00%	4.17%	0.00%	3.38%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.82%	3.77%	4.23%	2.59%	3.54%	5.28%	6.87%	4.03%	6.62%	10.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	41.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	36.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4.63

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.31	5.20	3.12
Cash Retained (M)	4.63	4.63	4.63
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.31	-5.20	-3.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-3.69	-0.57	1.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	711.32	711.32	711.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.00	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.00	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.05	0.05	0.05
WACC / Discount Rate	7.54%	7.54%	7.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$2.42	$5.25	$11.62
Upside / Downside	81.99%	294.52%	773.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	41.57	44.28	47.15	50.22	53.48	56.96	58.67
Payout Ratio	88.87%	89.10%	89.32%	89.55%	89.77%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	36.95	39.45	42.12	44.97	48.01	51.26	54.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.54%	7.54%	7.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	36.34	36.68	37.03
Year 2 PV (M)	35.74	36.42	37.11
Year 3 PV (M)	35.15	36.16	37.19
Year 4 PV (M)	34.57	35.90	37.27
Year 5 PV (M)	34.00	35.65	37.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)	793.21	831.53	871.30
Equity Value (M)	969.02	1,012.34	1,057.25
Shares Outstanding (M)	711.32	711.32	711.32
Fair Value	$1.36	$1.42	$1.49
Upside / Downside	2.43%	7.01%	11.75%

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UMS Holdings Limited (558.SI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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