DDM Analysis: 5191.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$22,807.77 - $55,764.00	$52,259.03
Multi-Stage	$8,050.92 - $8,815.89	$8,426.36
Blended Fair Value	$30,342.70
Current Price	$2,206.00
Upside	1,275.46%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	36.44%	11.19%	52.00	16.00	14.00	14.00	7.00	11.00	20.00	20.00	18.00	18.00
YoY Growth	-	-	225.05%	14.24%	0.00%	100.00%	-36.34%	-45.02%	0.00%	11.13%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.12%	1.09%	1.64%	2.38%	0.97%	1.76%	2.35%	1.76%	1.56%	2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	29,112.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6,853.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	22,259.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,822.40	3,639.00	2,183.40
Cash Retained (M)	22,259.00	22,259.00	22,259.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,822.40	-3,639.00	-2,183.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)	16,436.60	18,620.00	20,075.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	103.82	103.82	103.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share	158.31	179.34	193.36
LTM Dividend per Share	66.01	66.01	66.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	158.31	179.34	193.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend	224.32	245.35	259.37
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$22,807.77	$52,259.03	$55,764.00
Upside / Downside	933.90%	2,268.95%	2,427.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	29,112.00	31,004.28	33,019.56	35,165.83	37,451.61	39,885.96	41,082.54
Payout Ratio	23.54%	36.83%	50.12%	63.42%	76.71%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6,853.00	11,419.53	16,550.75	22,300.78	28,728.39	35,897.37	38,001.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	10,618.13	10,718.77	10,819.42
Year 2 PV (M)	14,309.27	14,581.82	14,856.94
Year 3 PV (M)	17,927.50	18,442.14	18,966.53
Year 4 PV (M)	21,473.90	22,299.72	23,149.14
Year 5 PV (M)	24,949.52	26,154.59	27,405.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	746,601.53	782,662.66	820,103.94
Equity Value (M)	835,879.84	874,859.70	915,301.75
Shares Outstanding (M)	103.82	103.82	103.82
Fair Value	$8,050.92	$8,426.36	$8,815.89
Upside / Downside	264.96%	281.97%	299.63%

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Sumitomo Riko Company Limited (5191.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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