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Utechzone Co., Ltd. (3455.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.11 - $64.57$52.59
Multi-Stage$95.81 - $105.19$100.41
Blended Fair Value$76.50
Current Price$93.70
Upside-18.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS10.76%0.00%4.928.375.413.942.952.950.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---41.18%54.55%37.50%33.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.09%10.05%5.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)283.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)269.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.6935.4321.26
Cash Retained (M)14.1114.1114.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.69-35.43-21.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)-42.58-21.32-7.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.8260.8260.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.70-0.35-0.12
LTM Dividend per Share4.434.434.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.70-0.35-0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.734.084.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$42.11$52.59$64.57
Upside / Downside-55.05%-43.87%-31.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)283.44280.61277.80275.02272.27269.55277.64
Payout Ratio95.02%94.02%93.01%92.01%91.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)269.33263.82258.39253.04247.78242.59256.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)244.81247.31249.80
Year 2 PV (M)222.50227.06231.67
Year 3 PV (M)202.19208.45214.83
Year 4 PV (M)183.72191.33199.18
Year 5 PV (M)166.91175.61184.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,806.425,056.705,317.30
Equity Value (M)5,826.556,106.456,397.44
Shares Outstanding (M)60.8260.8260.82
Fair Value$95.81$100.41$105.19
Upside / Downside2.25%7.16%12.27%

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