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Comforia Residential REIT, Inc (3282.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$977,192.48 - $4,547,629.81$2,185,747.80
Multi-Stage$579,381.00 - $632,761.74$605,585.88
Blended Fair Value$1,395,666.84
Current Price$271,600.00
Upside413.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.14%14.26%11,115.3310,223.6910,111.309,498.868,858.877,873.567,041.756,123.045,462.524,547.39
YoY Growth--8.72%1.11%6.45%7.22%12.51%11.81%15.00%12.09%20.12%55.13%
Dividend Yield--3.57%3.00%2.98%2.71%2.68%2.42%2.69%2.64%2.24%1.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17,385.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14,716.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,669.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,477.192,173.241,303.95
Cash Retained (M)2,669.642,669.642,669.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,477.19-2,173.24-1,303.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)-807.55496.391,365.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.760.760.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1,065.70655.081,802.26
LTM Dividend per Share19,420.6519,420.6519,420.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1,065.70655.081,802.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend18,354.9520,075.7221,222.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.14%6.14%7.14%
Fair Value$977,192.48$2,185,747.80$4,547,629.81
Upside / Downside259.79%704.77%1,574.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17,385.9518,453.3919,586.3620,788.9022,065.2623,420.0024,122.60
Payout Ratio84.64%85.72%86.79%87.86%88.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14,716.3115,817.4816,998.4018,264.7019,622.4121,078.0022,313.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.14%6.14%7.14%
Year 1 PV (M)14,627.7614,766.8914,906.01
Year 2 PV (M)14,537.4714,815.3315,095.81
Year 3 PV (M)14,445.5414,861.6615,285.69
Year 4 PV (M)14,352.0614,905.9215,475.66
Year 5 PV (M)14,257.1214,948.1515,665.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)366,815.41384,594.61403,056.61
Equity Value (M)439,035.36458,892.54479,485.49
Shares Outstanding (M)0.760.760.76
Fair Value$579,381.00$605,585.88$632,761.74
Upside / Downside113.32%122.97%132.98%

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