Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KakaoBank Corp. (323410.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,365.81 - $12,676.48$10,393.89
Multi-Stage$17,148.63 - $18,870.14$17,992.51
Blended Fair Value$14,193.20
Current Price$23,750.00
Upside-40.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%149.9080.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--87.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)459,530.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)171,520.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)288,010.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)91,906.0057,441.2534,464.75
Cash Retained (M)288,010.00288,010.00288,010.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-91,906.00-57,441.25-34,464.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)196,104.00230,568.75253,545.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)476.65476.65476.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share411.42483.73531.93
LTM Dividend per Share359.85359.85359.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share411.42483.73531.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend771.27843.58891.78
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8,365.81$10,393.89$12,676.48
Upside / Downside-64.78%-56.24%-46.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)459,530.00454,934.70450,385.35445,881.50441,422.68437,008.46450,118.71
Payout Ratio37.33%47.86%58.40%68.93%79.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)171,520.00217,732.09263,002.78307,346.28350,776.62393,307.61416,359.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)201,366.76203,421.53205,476.29
Year 2 PV (M)224,952.62229,566.91234,228.05
Year 3 PV (M)243,121.87250,640.58258,312.73
Year 4 PV (M)256,620.92267,256.66278,219.62
Year 5 PV (M)266,108.73279,965.63294,393.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,981,675.537,345,227.577,723,769.11
Equity Value (M)8,173,846.438,576,078.888,994,399.66
Shares Outstanding (M)476.65476.65476.65
Fair Value$17,148.63$17,992.51$18,870.14
Upside / Downside-27.80%-24.24%-20.55%

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