Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shanghai Hajime Advanced Material Technology Co., Ltd. (301000.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.19 - $23.79$15.90
Multi-Stage$8.33 - $9.09$8.71
Blended Fair Value$12.30
Current Price$49.99
Upside-75.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS22.44%0.00%0.520.320.330.270.150.190.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--64.21%-3.90%24.24%78.97%-21.57%4,586.11%316.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.25%2.65%2.87%2.14%0.72%0.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)144.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)95.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.8518.0310.82
Cash Retained (M)95.7895.7895.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.85-18.03-10.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)66.9377.7584.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)242.67242.67242.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.280.320.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.280.320.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.520.55
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11.19$15.90$23.79
Upside / Downside-77.62%-68.20%-52.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)144.26153.64163.62174.26185.58197.65203.58
Payout Ratio33.61%44.88%56.16%67.44%78.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48.4868.9691.90117.52146.09177.88188.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)62.1162.7063.29
Year 2 PV (M)74.5575.9777.40
Year 3 PV (M)85.8788.3390.85
Year 4 PV (M)96.1499.84103.64
Year 5 PV (M)105.44110.53115.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,598.061,675.241,755.38
Equity Value (M)2,022.162,112.612,206.38
Shares Outstanding (M)242.67242.67242.67
Fair Value$8.33$8.71$9.09
Upside / Downside-83.33%-82.59%-81.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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