Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Guangdong Jinma Entertainment Corporation Limited (300756.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.19 - $4.43$3.81
Multi-Stage$5.18 - $5.71$5.44
Blended Fair Value$4.62
Current Price$46.80
Upside-90.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.50%-1.00%0.120.010.030.000.160.210.000.000.000.05
YoY Growth--1,403.71%-74.63%5,401.79%-99.65%-27.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-62.16%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.06%0.18%0.00%0.98%1.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.3010.196.11
Cash Retained (M)72.0972.0972.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.30-10.19-6.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)55.7961.9065.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)149.70149.70149.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.410.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.410.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.50
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate-3.60%-2.60%-1.60%
Fair Value$3.19$3.81$4.43
Upside / Downside-93.19%-91.86%-90.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81.5279.4077.3375.3273.3771.4673.60
Payout Ratio11.56%27.25%42.94%58.62%74.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.4221.6433.2044.1654.5264.3168.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate-3.60%-2.60%-1.60%
Year 1 PV (M)19.5419.7419.95
Year 2 PV (M)27.0927.6528.22
Year 3 PV (M)32.5433.5634.60
Year 4 PV (M)36.2837.8139.39
Year 5 PV (M)38.6640.7042.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)621.85654.78689.09
Equity Value (M)775.95814.25854.09
Shares Outstanding (M)149.70149.70149.70
Fair Value$5.18$5.44$5.71
Upside / Downside-88.92%-88.38%-87.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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