DDM Analysis: 300733.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.53 - $15.84	$9.71
Multi-Stage	$4.52 - $4.94	$4.73
Blended Fair Value	$7.22
Current Price	$19.10
Upside	-62.21%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-7.18%	12.43%	0.05	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	-27.53%	-6.52%	228.62%	-61.31%	-20.00%	-16.67%	615.32%	-41.89%	-80.75%	602.41%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.29%	0.63%	0.47%	0.15%	0.51%	1.11%	0.84%	0.07%	0.10%	0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	89.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)	79.81

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17.85	11.15	6.69
Cash Retained (M)	79.81	79.81	79.81
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17.85	-11.15	-6.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	61.97	68.66	73.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	296.22	296.22	296.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	0.23	0.25
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	0.23	0.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.24	0.26	0.28
WACC / Discount Rate	9.39%	9.39%	9.39%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$6.53	$9.71	$15.84
Upside / Downside	-65.79%	-49.16%	-17.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	89.23	95.03	101.21	107.78	114.79	122.25	125.92
Payout Ratio	10.55%	26.44%	42.33%	58.22%	74.11%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9.42	25.13	42.84	62.75	85.07	110.03	116.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.39%	9.39%	9.39%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	22.75	22.97	23.19
Year 2 PV (M)	35.13	35.80	36.48
Year 3 PV (M)	46.60	47.94	49.30
Year 4 PV (M)	57.21	59.41	61.67
Year 5 PV (M)	67.00	70.24	73.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,109.91	1,163.52	1,219.18
Equity Value (M)	1,338.62	1,399.88	1,463.42
Shares Outstanding (M)	296.22	296.22	296.22
Fair Value	$4.52	$4.73	$4.94
Upside / Downside	-76.34%	-75.26%	-74.13%

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Chengdu Xiling Power Science & Technology Incorporated Company (300733.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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