Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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YesAsia Holdings Limited (2209.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.63 - $0.89$0.76
Multi-Stage$0.92 - $1.01$0.96
Blended Fair Value$0.86
Current Price$0.67
Upside28.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.89%0.00%9.65%3.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.844.902.94
Cash Retained (M)36.7836.7836.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.84-4.90-2.94
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.9431.8833.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)411.16411.16411.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.63$0.76$0.89
Upside / Downside-6.28%13.02%32.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39.1938.8038.4138.0237.6437.2738.39
Payout Ratio6.15%22.92%39.69%56.46%73.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.418.8915.2421.4727.5733.5435.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.018.098.17
Year 2 PV (M)12.3612.6212.87
Year 3 PV (M)15.6816.1616.66
Year 4 PV (M)18.1318.8819.65
Year 5 PV (M)19.8620.9021.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)303.60319.41335.87
Equity Value (M)377.64396.05415.20
Shares Outstanding (M)411.16411.16411.16
Fair Value$0.92$0.96$1.01
Upside / Downside37.37%44.07%51.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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