DDM Analysis: 2030.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.28 - $0.37	$0.33
Multi-Stage	$1.00 - $1.11	$1.06
Blended Fair Value	$0.69
Current Price	$1.42
Upside	-51.15%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-24.27%	-17.58%	0.03	0.03	0.04	0.11	0.09	0.11	0.18	0.10	0.14	0.17
YoY Growth	-	-	-5.66%	-22.57%	-67.40%	21.10%	-13.62%	-40.16%	84.18%	-30.03%	-14.30%	-12.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.37%	3.13%	4.14%	5.00%	3.30%	8.17%	10.70%	5.23%	7.84%	4.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	54.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	34.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19.61

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10.87	6.79	4.08
Cash Retained (M)	19.61	19.61	19.61
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10.87	-6.79	-4.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8.74	12.81	15.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	668.59	668.59	668.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.02	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.01	0.02	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.07	0.07	0.08
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	-13.52%	-12.52%	-11.52%
Fair Value	$0.28	$0.33	$0.37
Upside / Downside	-80.05%	-76.76%	-73.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	54.34	47.54	41.59	36.38	31.83	27.85	28.68
Payout Ratio	63.92%	69.13%	74.35%	79.57%	84.78%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	34.73	32.86	30.92	28.95	26.99	25.06	26.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	-13.52%	-12.52%	-11.52%
Year 1 PV (M)	30.55	30.91	31.26
Year 2 PV (M)	26.72	27.35	27.97
Year 3 PV (M)	23.26	24.08	24.91
Year 4 PV (M)	20.16	21.11	22.09
Year 5 PV (M)	17.40	18.43	19.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)	552.33	585.01	619.22
Equity Value (M)	670.43	706.88	744.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	668.59	668.59	668.59
Fair Value	$1.00	$1.06	$1.11
Upside / Downside	-29.38%	-25.54%	-21.53%

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EXPD	Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.	0.99%	$1.50	24.32%
LISOX	Lazard International Strategic Equity Ptf Open Shares	0.99%	$0.13	36.87%
MXC	Mexco Energy Corporation	0.99%	$0.10	12.25%
NIC	Nicolet Bankshares, Inc.	0.99%	$1.19	12.58%
PAYC	Paycom Software, Inc.	0.99%	$1.51	18.80%
RRC	Range Resources Corporation	0.99%	$0.35	14.60%
WLFC	Willis Lease Finance Corporation	0.99%	$1.32	7.58%
WOR	Worthington Industries, Inc.	0.99%	$0.52	23.95%
CNXN	PC Connection, Inc.	0.98%	$0.56	16.89%
CAT	Caterpillar Inc.	0.97%	$5.78	29.40%
CNK	Cinemark Holdings, Inc.	0.97%	$0.23	18.28%
ECL	Ecolab Inc.	0.97%	$2.54	36.57%
EVR	Evercore Inc.	0.97%	$3.41	27.02%
LSBK	Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc.	0.96%	$0.14	24.34%
0ITL.L	Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.	0.95%	$2.42	39.43%
0IZI.L	W.W. Grainger, Inc.	0.95%	$9.52	26.47%
0L5V.L	The Sherwin-Williams Company	0.95%	$3.11	30.09%
0R2S.L	Stryker Corporation	0.95%	$3.28	43.09%
RRX	Regal Rexnord Corporation	0.95%	$1.39	36.07%
WT	WisdomTree, Inc.	0.95%	$0.12	18.12%
J	Jacobs Solutions Inc.	0.94%	$1.27	53.80%
ORCL	Oracle Corporation	0.94%	$1.84	34.81%
TCBS	Texas Community Bancshares, Inc.	0.94%	$0.17	19.22%
IMKTA	Ingles Markets, Incorporated	0.93%	$0.65	14.68%
ODC	Oil-Dri Corporation of America	0.93%	$0.45	12.28%
PENG	Penguin Solutions, Inc.	0.93%	$0.19	40.17%
SSBK	Southern States Bancshares, Inc.	0.93%	$0.34	9.19%
DAL	Delta Air Lines, Inc.	0.92%	$0.63	8.94%
HIFS	Hingham Institution for Savings	0.92%	$2.49	12.15%
RL	Ralph Lauren Corporation	0.92%	$3.34	24.37%
OPY	Oppenheimer Holdings Inc.	0.91%	$0.66	8.90%
BGC	BGC Group, Inc	0.90%	$0.08	23.56%
CDRE	Cadre Holdings, Inc.	0.90%	$0.37	33.35%
MBNKP	Medallion Bank	0.90%	$0.23	12.50%
JBHT	J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.	0.89%	$1.75	30.14%
NYT	The New York Times Company	0.89%	$0.62	30.32%
RMD	ResMed Inc.	0.89%	$2.18	22.31%
VBFC	Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp.	0.89%	$0.72	15.35%
0I14.L	Cognex Corporation	0.88%	$0.32	49.16%
AR	Antero Resources Corporation	0.88%	$0.30	17.15%
LDOS	Leidos Holdings, Inc.	0.88%	$1.61	14.88%
LMAT	LeMaitre Vascular, Inc.	0.88%	$0.70	32.20%
NNI	Nelnet, Inc.	0.88%	$1.14	9.52%
PFSI	PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.	0.88%	$1.16	12.49%
SMBK	SmartFinancial, Inc.	0.88%	$0.32	11.76%
BYD	Boyd Gaming Corporation	0.87%	$0.75	3.22%
ROST	Ross Stores, Inc.	0.87%	$1.59	24.85%
BBSI	Barrett Business Services, Inc.	0.86%	$0.31	15.02%
BCO	The Brink's Company	0.86%	$1.00	24.81%
HXL	Hexcel Corporation	0.86%	$0.66	77.18%

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Cabbeen Fashion Limited (2030.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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