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Definitive Analysis

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Sisram Medical Ltd (1696.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.22 - $5.94$3.41
Multi-Stage$1.56 - $1.70$1.63
Blended Fair Value$2.52
Current Price$0.55
Upside354.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.02%0.00%0.020.020.020.010.010.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---9.61%12.71%122.50%-33.20%11.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.17%3.33%1.75%0.73%3.14%2.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.835.523.31
Cash Retained (M)24.1424.1424.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.83-5.52-3.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.3118.6220.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)468.13468.13468.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.080.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2.22$3.41$5.94
Upside / Downside301.56%515.33%972.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.1547.0250.0853.3356.8060.4962.31
Payout Ratio45.32%54.26%63.19%72.13%81.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.0125.5131.6538.4746.0454.4457.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23.1723.3923.61
Year 2 PV (M)26.1026.6027.10
Year 3 PV (M)28.8129.6430.48
Year 4 PV (M)31.3232.5333.76
Year 5 PV (M)33.6335.2636.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)585.75614.04643.41
Equity Value (M)728.78761.45795.31
Shares Outstanding (M)468.13468.13468.13
Fair Value$1.56$1.63$1.70
Upside / Downside181.02%193.62%206.68%

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