Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Nordic Waterproofing Holding AB (publ) (0RH9.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$160.14 - $418.56$243.78
Multi-Stage$197.70 - $216.65$207.00
Blended Fair Value$225.39
Current Price$170.20
Upside32.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.67%0.00%4.996.955.969.930.003.973.753.750.960.00
YoY Growth---28.27%16.67%-40.00%0.00%-100.00%5.76%0.00%292.61%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.93%4.25%3.66%5.86%0.00%5.29%4.51%5.23%1.06%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)170.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)121.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)49.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.1821.3612.82
Cash Retained (M)49.7749.7749.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.18-21.36-12.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.5928.4136.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.0624.0624.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.651.181.54
LTM Dividend per Share5.035.035.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.651.181.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.686.216.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.67%3.67%4.67%
Fair Value$160.14$243.78$418.56
Upside / Downside-5.91%43.23%145.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)170.90177.18183.69190.43197.43204.68210.82
Payout Ratio70.88%74.70%78.53%82.35%86.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)121.13132.36144.24156.82170.13184.21195.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.67%3.67%4.67%
Year 1 PV (M)123.29124.49125.69
Year 2 PV (M)125.16127.61130.09
Year 3 PV (M)126.76130.50134.31
Year 4 PV (M)128.10133.17138.38
Year 5 PV (M)129.20135.62142.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,124.394,329.194,542.05
Equity Value (M)4,756.914,980.585,212.81
Shares Outstanding (M)24.0624.0624.06
Fair Value$197.70$207.00$216.65
Upside / Downside16.16%21.62%27.29%

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