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Definitive Analysis

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MCNEX Co., Ltd (097520.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$299,402.41 - $829,280.44$777,157.22
Multi-Stage$114,662.70 - $125,561.42$120,011.74
Blended Fair Value$448,584.48
Current Price$29,350.00
Upside1,428.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.70%33.46%635.10531.26535.64529.72529.72306.33172.430.00173.67106.25
YoY Growth--19.55%-0.82%1.12%0.00%72.92%77.65%0.00%-100.00%63.46%200.00%
Dividend Yield--2.72%2.06%1.71%1.21%0.95%1.17%0.86%0.00%1.15%0.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)69,403.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,494.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)55,908.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,880.628,675.395,205.23
Cash Retained (M)55,908.9355,908.9355,908.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,880.62-8,675.39-5,205.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)42,028.3047,233.5450,703.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.6416.6416.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,525.132,837.873,046.36
LTM Dividend per Share810.75810.75810.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,525.132,837.873,046.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,335.893,648.633,857.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$299,402.41$777,157.22$829,280.44
Upside / Downside920.11%2,547.90%2,725.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)69,403.1173,914.3178,718.7483,835.4689,284.7795,088.2897,940.93
Payout Ratio19.44%33.55%47.67%61.78%75.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,494.1924,801.6237,522.0151,791.2767,757.0085,579.4590,595.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)23,031.3023,249.6023,467.91
Year 2 PV (M)32,356.5932,972.8933,595.01
Year 3 PV (M)41,473.5842,664.1443,877.26
Year 4 PV (M)50,385.7252,323.4154,316.46
Year 5 PV (M)59,096.4161,950.7964,914.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,702,102.361,784,314.541,869,673.18
Equity Value (M)1,908,445.961,997,475.372,089,844.23
Shares Outstanding (M)16.6416.6416.64
Fair Value$114,662.70$120,011.74$125,561.42
Upside / Downside290.67%308.90%327.81%

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