Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sun.King Technology Group Limited (0580.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.99 - $1.41$1.19
Multi-Stage$1.49 - $1.64$1.56
Blended Fair Value$1.38
Current Price$1.10
Upside25.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.030.070.040.040.030.010.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-65.07%63.08%5.25%62.22%77.53%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.71%4.09%4.25%3.96%1.73%1.11%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)233.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)219.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.7929.2417.54
Cash Retained (M)219.40219.40219.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.79-29.24-17.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)172.61190.16201.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,611.081,611.081,611.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.99$1.19$1.41
Upside / Downside-10.35%8.45%27.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)233.93231.59229.27226.98224.71222.47229.14
Payout Ratio6.21%22.97%39.73%56.48%73.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.5353.1991.08128.21164.58200.22211.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)48.0748.5649.05
Year 2 PV (M)74.3875.9077.45
Year 3 PV (M)94.6197.53100.52
Year 4 PV (M)109.75114.30118.99
Year 5 PV (M)120.65126.93133.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,951.842,053.482,159.30
Equity Value (M)2,399.292,516.702,638.78
Shares Outstanding (M)1,611.081,611.081,611.08
Fair Value$1.49$1.56$1.64
Upside / Downside35.39%42.01%48.90%

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